CVR - Coronavirus Vaccines R&D Roadmap

Milestone
2.5.b

Longitudinal cohort studies

In progress

Implement longitudinal cohort studies to determine levels of baseline and heterosubtypic immunity to coronaviruses in geographically diverse populations and assess the impact of preexisting heterotypic immunity—arising from prior infection with SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV, common cold coronaviruses, and SARS-CoV-2 variants—on susceptibility to infection and disease from future coronavirus exposures.

Progress Highlights

No single longitudinal study across geographically distinct regions exists, but implications can be drawn from individual studies conducted in different regions. There has been a lack of longitudinal studies coming out of low and middle income countries.

United States (Adults)

Study: Bean 2024

  • Baseline HCoV immunity: Not the focus (SARS-CoV-2)
  • Effect: Prior SARS-CoV-2 infection reduced subsequent HCoV illness
  • Heterotypic immunity: Yes (T-cell–mediated)

Study: Karaba 2023

  • Baseline HCoV immunity: Moderate
  • Effect: No effect on COVID-19 outcomes
  • Heterotypic immunity: No 
United States (Children)
  • Study: Morrow 2024
  • Baseline HCoV immunity: High early-life exposure
  • Effect: No protection against SARS-CoV-2
  • Heterotypic immunity: No 
Hong Kong

Study: Meng 2025

  • Baseline HCoV immunity: Not directly measured
  • Affected transmission dynamics
  • Heterotypic immunity: Likely (hybrid immunity)
Switzerland

Study: Abela 2024

  • Baseline HCoV immunity: High
  • Effect: Reduced SARS-CoV-2 infection risk
  • Heterotypic immunity: Yes (antibody-based)
Netherlands

Study: Aguilar-Bretones 2021

  • Baseline HCoV immunity: High
  • Effect: Boosted during COVID-19, but non-protective
  • Heterotypic immunity: No (“original antigenic sin”)